Current efforts to limit global warming to 2 degrees above pre-industrial levels, as agreed in 2015 at the COP 21 in Paris, are insufficient.
The IPCC 2021 report — like all other forecasting efforts — makes no mention of possible breakthrough technologies which could emerge and speed up our pathway to carbon neutrality. One could consider this a conservative approach, justified by the huge difficulty of predicting the next technology breakthroughs and their potential.
Emerging Technologies in 2021. In this section we present topical areas we think will offer non-trivial benefits for this transition. ENGIE does not only keep a close eye on their development but also has the ambition to help bring some of these technologies to the market at an increased pace through piloting and demonstrating.
In this section you will find a qualitative evaluation is given based on our experts’ insights into the technologies that are constantly evolving. In this second part of the report, we illustrate how many of these technologies have rapidly gained in maturity, enhancing their potential to speed up our pathway to carbon neutrality and prove the roadmaps wrong.
A qualitative evaluation is given based on our experts’ insights into the technologies that are constantly evolving. In the Look back section, we illustrate how many of these technologies have rapidly gained in maturity, enhancing their potential to speed up our pathway to carbon neutrality and prove the roadmaps wrong.
Others, meanwhile, either mature at a slower speed or fail to live up to the expectations they raised at the time — a reminder how notoriously difficult it is to accurately evaluate the potential of new technologies. It also means we have to be ready to change direction if early hopes are not fulfilled.
No technology has the potential to rise to this challenge on its own. It is therefore essential to explore a variety of solutions relating to energy production, transport, storage and use.
The challenge is also too vast for a single person/company/sector to handle on their own — working together is key.
The main purpose of this document is to help inspire a new sense of collaboration between all the players in this hugely important endeavour.
Disclaimer: please note that the incorporation of a certain technology does not imply that it is part of ENGIE’s strategy towards carbon neutrality.
We have tried several methods to pick them in an ‘objective’ manner using quantitative indicators such as the number of publications and of patents, mentions in other reports and in press releases. However, we have not found any one quantitative method that was satisfying on its own.
In fact, using ‘objective’ quantitative measures results in mostly digital solutions dominating the selection due to the enormous work being carried out worldwide on our digital transformation. If ENGIE adopted the same approach we would, in effect, all be reporting the same and add little value.
Instead, we decided to trust the insights of our ENGIE experts in a wide variety of domains to compile this selection. This approach implies a degree of subjectivity, reflecting our unique ENGIE expertise in game-changing scientific and technological trends in energy-related activities.
Feel free to contact us at ENGIE Research
Dr. Jan Mertens, ENGIE Chief Science Officer, Visiting Professor at Ugent jan.mertens@engie.com
Dr. Elodie Le Cadre Loret, Lead Science Advisor at ENGIE elodie.lecadre@engie.com
Authors: Elodie Le Cadre Loret, Jan Mertens, Jean-Pierre Keustermans, Monique Créach
Based upon discussions with ENGIE Research experts
Laurent Baraton, Anass Berrady, Fiona Buckley, Dominique Corbisier,Cathy Crunelle, Koenraad De Bauw, Frederiek Demeyer, Carina Faber, Emmanuel Girasa, Louis Gorintin, Jim Gripekoven, Xavier Jaspar, Yilmaz Kara,Nouaamane Kezibri, Hannes Laget, Jonathan Lehmann, Hélène Lepaumier, Olivier Lhote, Maxime Hervy, Marion Maheut, Camel Makhloufi, Jos Menting, Frédéric Monnaie, Lionel Nadau, Elise Nanini-Maury, Steve Nardone, Han Ngoc Huynh Thi, Célestin Piette, Nicolas Quiévy, Stjin Scheerlinck, Julie Simon, Olivier Van Oost, Julien Werly.
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